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Türkiye's banking system is more likely to change function than to shrink by 2030. The report connects disinflation, credit quality, capital, external funding, open finance, AI, capital markets and climate transition to a practical decision framework.
An evidence-led audit of 2025 results and information available through 28 July 2026 across major banking systems. Covered systems remained profitable and well capitalised, cross-border bank credit grew 11%, and balance-sheet growth continued in most matched samples. No harmonised same-date global balance sheet is supportable; the principal downside path combines commercial-real-estate refinancing, funding and operational shocks.
